شناسایی و اولویت بندی ریسک های پروژه های ساختمانی سبز مبتنی بر تلفیق روش های FDEMATEL) و :(FANP (مطالعه موردی: شهرستان سوادکوه)

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 گروه مهندسی صنایع، دانشگاه علوم و فنون مازندران، بابل، ایران

2 گروه مهندسی صنایع، دانشگاه علم و فناوری بهشر

چکیده

ساختمان سبز روندی است که با محیط زیست و حفظ منابع طبیعی درطول چرخه عمر ساختمان سازگار می باشد. وجود ریسک در پروژه های ساختمانی سبز موجب کاهش دقت در تخمین مناسب اهداف پروژه شده و از کارآیی پروژه های ساختمانی سبز می کاهد. بنابراین شناسایی و اولویت بندی ریسک می تواند نقش بسزایی در موفقیت پروژه های ساختمانی سبز داشته باشد. در پژوهش حاضر با ارائه مدلی جامع از کلیه معیارها و شاخص های ریسک های پروژه های ساختمانی سبز، شاخص های ریسک های پروژه های ساختمانی سبز اولویت بندی شدند . بدین منظور در گام اول به شناسایی و غربال شاخص ها از دیدگاه کارشناسان پروژه های ساختمانی سبز با استفاده از تکنیک دلفی فازی پرداخته شد، و در ادامه روش نوینی به کمک ترکیب نتایج فرآیند تحلیل شبکه ای و تکنیک دیمتل در شرایط فازی( F. DEMATEL) برای رتبه بندی و ارزیابی روابط علی و معلول بین عوامل به کار برده شده است، و در نهایت اولویت بندی نهایی شاخص های ریسک های پروژه های ساختمانی سبز، با لحاظ نتایج گام های اولیه و با استفاده از فرآیند تحلیل شبکه فازی و تکنیک دیمتل در نرم افزار super decision صورت گرفته است. نتایج در پژوهش حاضر نشان می دهد که ریسک های مربوط به کیفیت بد مواد و نامناسب بودن تجهیزات اهمیت بالایی برخوردار هستند و نداشتن مقیاس برای هزینه فعالیت ها دارای کم ترین اهمیت می باشد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله [English]

Identification and Prioritization the Risks of Green Building Projects Based on the Combination of FANP and FDEMATEL: (Case study: Savadkooh County)

نویسندگان [English]

  • Javad Ghaobadi 1
  • Javad Rezaeian 1
  • Mostafa Haji Aghaei Keshteli 2
1 Department of Industrial Engineering, Mazandaran University of Science and Technology, Babol, Iran
2 Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Science and Technolgy of Mazandarn
چکیده [English]

Green buildings are consistent objects which consider environment issues and natural resources throughout their life cycle. The risks on green construction projects reduce the accuracy of the estimation of the projects objectives and reduce the efficiency of green building projects. Therefore, identification and prioritization of risks can play a significant role in the success of green construction projects. In this research, a comprehensive model of all criteria and indicators of the risks for green construction projects are presentedAt first step, the indicators have been evaluated and ranked first by fuzzy Delphi technique by the identification and verification experts, and then by combining the results of the network analysis process and the DEMATEL technique in fuzzy conditions. Finally, the final ranking of the indicators is done according to the results obtained in the super decision software. in fuzzy conditions to rank and evaluate the causal relationships between the factors and ultimately final prioritizing green building risk indicators have been done in terms of the results of the initial steps using the fuzzy Analysis Network Process FANP and DEMATEL technique. The results of the research showed that the risks associated with poor quality of materials and inappropriate equipment are very important and the lack of scale for the cost of activities has the least importance.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Risk Management
  • Project Risk
  • Green Building Projects
  • Fuzzy ANP
  • Fuzzy DEMATEL
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